Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanduva FC vs Independente SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanduva FC in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catanduva FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Catanduva FC
6%
Draws
90%
Independente SP
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Catanduva FC haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independente SP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduva FC Independente SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
Catanduva FC vs Independente SP
2:0
Jul 9, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Catanduva FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduva FC 10 / 100
Independente SP 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduva FC Independente SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catanduva FC scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Independente SP let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Catanduva FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanduva FC VS Independente SP
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanduva FC

(Home)
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
15 Mar
Bandeirante
1 : 2
Catanduva FC
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0
Desportivo
07 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
04 Mar
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 6

Independente SP

(Away)
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1
Independente SP
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penapolense63215:211
2Francana622211:108
3Jacarei FC61414:47
4Amparo SP62046:106
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vocem63306:312
2Taquaritinga632110:511
3Maua FC61329:66
4Manthiqueira61052:133
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1XV de Jau651011:116
2Uniao Barbarense62135:87
3Tanabi61233:85
4Mauaense61234:65
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SKA Brasil642021:114
2Catanduva FC63219:311
3Independente SP63036:99
4Guarulhos60061:240
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao64117:313
2America SP63127:410
3Nacional SP63127:510
4Flamengo SP60151:101
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao-Carlense63309:212
2Rio Branco SP623110:79
3Jabaquara62228:68
4Fernandopolis61053:153
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams