Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Donnarumma D.
19'
19'
Urso O.
37'
37'
Sipos L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Catania lately — more wins on the board than Lecco.
- Model gives Catania a 36% chance of winning this.
- Catania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Catania Clean Sheet 16%
Lecco Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Lecco
3:3
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Catania
0:0
Mar 25, 1962 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
3:1
Nov 27, 1961 Serie A
Catania vs Lecco
1:0
Feb 12, 1961 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Donnarumma D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ierardi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Urso O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duca E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 36 / 100
Lecco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Lecco conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Catania remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Lecco
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
19 Apr
Catania
1 : 1 Potenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2 Picerno
23 Mar
Catania
1 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
10 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 2 Lecco
29 Mar
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4
