Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Donnarumma D.
19'
19'
Urso O.
37'
37'
Sipos L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Catania lately — more wins on the board than Lecco.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Catania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Lecco
3:3
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Catania
0:0
Mar 25, 1962 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
3:1
Nov 27, 1961 Serie A
Catania vs Lecco
1:0
Feb 12, 1961 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Donnarumma D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ierardi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Urso O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duca E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 41 / 100
Lecco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catania scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Lecco conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Catania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Lecco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2 Inter U23
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
