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Catanzaro vs Carrarese

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Topalovic L.
46'
Sub
Verrengia B. In: Imperiale M.
Out: Verrengia B.
53'
Mosti N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Catanzaro and Carrarese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Catanzaro
15%
Draws
21%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Catanzaro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Catanzaro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 20%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Carrarese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Carrarese
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Catanzaro
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Carrarese
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Catanzaro
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Carrarese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iemmello P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 42 / 100
Carrarese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Carrarese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Carrarese has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Carrarese
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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Carrarese

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)