Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catda vs Nebbi Central

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Catda Logo

Catda

1 - 2
FT
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Catda and Nebbi Central finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nebbi Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Catda
20%
Draws
23%
Nebbi Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Nebbi Central's 1.23 goals per match outpaces what Catda have produced (0.8).
  • Model gives Catda a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Nebbi Central
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Catda
1:1
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Nebbi Central
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 58 / 100
Nebbi Central 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Nebbi Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Catda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nebbi Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Nebbi Central
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Nebbi Central

(Away)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)