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Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Ntignee G.
52' Event
Warschewski T.
(Penalty)
60'
Musse A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cavalry
15%
Draws
35%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavalry lately — more wins on the board than HFX Wanderers.
  • Win probability leans Cavalry's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 68%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 59 / 100
HFX Wanderers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavalry scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Cavalry remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

HFX Wanderers has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS HFX Wanderers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
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HFX Wanderers

(Away)
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
22 Aug
HFX Wanderers
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 22 15 5 2 42:13 50
2 Forge FC 22 14 4 4 34:16 46
3 Atletico Ottawa 22 10 4 8 34:37 34
4 Vancouver FC 23 9 4 10 31:29 31
5 HFX Wanderers 22 6 5 11 31:37 23
6 Inter Toronto 20 5 8 7 29:42 23
7 Supra du Quebec 21 6 4 11 29:38 22
8 Pacific FC 22 1 8 13 26:44 11
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)