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Cavaly vs Racing Haitien

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Cavaly and Racing Haitien finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cavaly
20%
Draws
40%
Racing Haitien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cavaly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cavaly taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Haitien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavaly Racing Haitien
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Racing Haitien
1:1
May 30, 2021 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Racing Haitien
4:1
Oct 25, 2020 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavaly 85 / 100
Racing Haitien 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavaly Racing Haitien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavaly scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Racing Haitien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Racing Haitien's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavaly VS Racing Haitien
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavaly

(Home)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 5

Racing Haitien

(Away)
11 May
Violette
1 : 0
Racing Haitien
04 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 0
Don Bosco
27 Apr
Racing Haitien
0 : 5
Violette
20 Apr
Don Bosco
0 : 0
Racing Haitien
13 Apr
Violette
3 : 0
Racing Haitien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)