Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavaly vs Real du Cap

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cavaly in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavaly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cavaly
15%
Draws
36%
Real du Cap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavaly lately — more wins on the board than Real du Cap.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Cavaly taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 20%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavaly Real du Cap
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Real du Cap
2:1
Sep 13, 2020 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Cavaly
0:1
Oct 13, 2019 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Real du Cap
0:0
Apr 6, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Cavaly
1:0
Sep 23, 2018 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Cavaly
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavaly 49 / 100
Real du Cap 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavaly Real du Cap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavaly found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Real du Cap let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Real du Cap registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavaly VS Real du Cap
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavaly

(Home)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 7

Real du Cap

(Away)
29 May
Real du Cap
1 : 2
Rivartibonitienne
23 May
Juventus
2 : 1
Real du Cap
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
16 May
Real du Cap
2 : 0
Fica
13 May
Racing Haitien
4 : 0
Real du Cap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)