Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavese vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Baez J.
60'
Sub
Mazzocchi S. In: Emmausso M.
Out: Mazzocchi S.
60'
Sub
Baez J. In: Beretta G.
Out: Baez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cavese
28%
Draws
22%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Cavese.
  • Model gives Cavese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Cosenza
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 13 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Cosenza
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Cavese
2:1
Jan 16, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Cosenza vs Cavese
0:0
Sep 5, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Cavese vs Cosenza
2:2
Mar 21, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Cosenza vs Cavese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 59 / 100
Cosenza 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavese scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Cosenza has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cavese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Cosenza
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1
Cavese
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Cavese
04 Apr
Cavese
0 : 1
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0
Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
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Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)