Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavese vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Baez J.
60'
Sub
Mazzocchi S. In: Emmausso M.
Out: Mazzocchi S.
60'
Sub
Baez J. In: Beretta G.
Out: Baez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cavese
35%
Draws
19%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Cavese.
  • Model gives Cavese a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Cosenza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Cavese
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Cosenza
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Cavese
2:1
Jan 16, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Cosenza vs Cavese
0:0
Sep 5, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Cavese vs Cosenza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 95 / 100
Cosenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavese scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Cosenza has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cavese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Cosenza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)