Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Diarrassouba A.
46'
46'
Sub
Bolsius D. In: Sabbatani A.
Out: Bolsius D.
46'
46'
Sub
Di Somma V. In: Shaw K.
Out: Di Somma V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Cavese and Sorrento finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Sorrento carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sorrento a 67% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cavese Clean Sheet 22%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cavese | Sorrento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Sorrento
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Cavese
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Sorrento
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Cavese
1:3
Mar 22, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Cavese vs Sorrento
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cavese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ubaldi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sorrento Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cavese 10 / 100
Sorrento 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cavese Sorrento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sorrento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cavese found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Sorrento has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Cavese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cavese VS Sorrento
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cavese
(Home) 06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0 Cavese
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0 Cavese
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1 Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1 Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1 Cosenza
04 Apr
Cavese
0 : 1 Casertana
Page 1 of 3
Sorrento
(Away) 05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2 Sorrento
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Cosenza
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
24 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2 Sorrento
16 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1 Sorrento
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2 Sorrento
24 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2 Sorrento
16 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1 Sorrento
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0 Sorrento
12 Apr
Potenza
3 : 0 Sorrento
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
