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Cayeli SK vs Duzcespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ergen F.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Karakas M.
Assist: Tunc T.
29'
Ozdemir E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Cayeli SK and Duzcespor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayeli SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cayeli SK
20%
Draws
40%
Duzcespor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Duzcespor come out ahead of Cayeli SK on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cayeli SK taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 20%
Duzcespor Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayeli SK Duzcespor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Duzcespor
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Duzcespor vs Cayeli SK
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayeli SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Duzcespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayeli SK 36 / 100
Duzcespor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayeli SK Duzcespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Duzcespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Cayeli SK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cayeli SK found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Cayeli SK VS Duzcespor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayeli SK

(Home)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
Page 1 of 6

Duzcespor

(Away)
18 Apr
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
12 Apr
Duzcespor
2 : 2
52 Orduspor
05 Apr
Giresunspor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
29 Mar
Duzcespor
1 : 0
Pazarspor
25 Mar
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 2
Duzcespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)