Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cayman Islands vs United States Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Seymour E.
57' Event
Nunez C.
84' Event
Joseph R.

AI Match Summary

Cayman Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cayman Islands
6%
Draws
4%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cayman Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • United States Virgin Islands haven't matched Cayman Islands's recent run of results.
  • Cayman Islands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cayman Islands here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 11%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 0.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
2:1
Sep 7, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
2:2
Nov 17, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Sep 5, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 83 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands United States Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: United States Virgin Islands conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Cayman Islands's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Cayman Islands stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS United States Virgin Islands
0.5 Goals Scored 1.29
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.86
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
13 Nov
Cayman Islands
1 : 2
British Virgin Islands
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United States Virgin Islands

(Away)
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Martin440020:112
2Bonaire42026:66
3Anguilla40040:190
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aruba440014:412
2Cayman Islands41126:104
3United States Virgin Islands40135:111
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominica43108:210
2British Virgin Islands41217:65
3Turks and Caicos Islands40133:101
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams