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CD Aguilar vs Numancia B

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
CD Aguilar Logo

CD Aguilar

1 - 3
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Numancia B Logo

Numancia B

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 game between CD Aguilar and Numancia B finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Aguilar
20%
Draws
10%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Aguilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Very High Confidence
  • Numancia B's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what CD Aguilar have produced (0).
  • Win probability leans CD Aguilar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 20%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aguilar Numancia B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs CD Aguilar
0:5
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Numancia B
1:2
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Numancia B
1:3
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs CD Aguilar
2:2
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Numancia B
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aguilar 85 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aguilar Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

CD Aguilar's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: CD Aguilar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Numancia B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aguilar

(Home)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 6

Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)