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CD Alcala vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 game between CD Alcala and Murallas de Ceuta FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Alcala
33%
Draws
27%
Murallas de Ceuta FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alcala come out ahead of Murallas de Ceuta FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Alcala taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 16%
Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Murallas de Ceuta FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
3:0
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs CD Alcala
0:0
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
0:0
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs CD Alcala
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 39 / 100
Murallas de Ceuta FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Murallas de Ceuta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Murallas de Ceuta FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

CD Alcala scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: CD Alcala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Alcala382311468:2180
2Mairena382171054:3070
3Ayamonte381912763:3369
4Marinaleda381991052:3366
5Linense381712950:3263
6Pozoblanco3817111044:3362
7Los Barrios381691342:4157
8Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3815111261:4756
9Cordoba B381316938:3755
10Cadiz B3814121242:4154
11UD Los Palacios381581540:4553
12Coria C.F.381481656:4750
13Puerto Real CF381471732:3949
14Sevilla C3812121442:4048
15Algeciras3811131448:5346
16Sanluqueno381281836:4144
17Portuense381271939:5643
18Murallas de Ceuta FC381181929:4241
19Dos Hermanas38472724:9219
20AD Cartaya38462825:8218