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CD Algar vs Molinense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
CD Algar Logo

CD Algar

1 - 0
FT
Molinense Logo

Molinense

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Hernandez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Algar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Algar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Algar
30%
Draws
39%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than CD Algar.
  • Molinense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 16%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Molinense
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 6 24
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Molinense
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs CD Algar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Molinense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 28 / 100
Molinense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molinense let in goals in 65% of their last 43 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Algar scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: CD Algar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Molinense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3
Plus Ultra
Page 1 of 6

Molinense

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)