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CD Alquerias vs Pinatar

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between CD Alquerias and Pinatar finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Alquerias
35%
Draws
45%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Pinatar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Alquerias Clean Sheet 13%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alquerias Pinatar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Alquerias vs Pinatar
0:7
Nov 18, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs CD Alquerias
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alquerias 22 / 100
Pinatar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alquerias Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pinatar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

CD Alquerias's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Alquerias has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alquerias

(Home)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
10 May
Ciudad Cieza
5 : 2
CD Alquerias
04 May
CD Alquerias
1 : 3
Sangonera
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 0
CD Alquerias
20 Apr
CD Alquerias
1 : 2
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

Pinatar

(Away)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)