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Stadium Background

CD Azuaga vs Arroyo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cortes Gallego K.
32' Event
Sanchez J.
36' Event
Molina A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CD Azuaga and Arroyo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Azuaga
20%
Draws
7%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Arroyo haven't matched CD Azuaga's recent run of results.
  • CD Azuaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Azuaga have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Arroyo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.58 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Arroyo
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Arroyo
1:0
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Azuaga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Arroyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes Gallego K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
Arroyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Arroyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Azuaga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)