Sport Picks
CD Barquereno vs UM Escobedo
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
85'
85'
Casar J.
AI Match Summary
UM Escobedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UM Escobedo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Barquereno haven't matched UM Escobedo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CD Barquereno's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Barquereno | UM Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UM Escobedo
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Barquereno
4:2
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UM Escobedo
1:3
Oct 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Barquereno
1:1
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UM Escobedo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Barquereno Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
UM Escobedo Compare
Top Goalscorer Casar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Barquereno 34 / 100
UM Escobedo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Barquereno UM Escobedo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
CD Barquereno scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
UM Escobedo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: UM Escobedo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Barquereno VS UM Escobedo
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Barquereno
(Home) 20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1 CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2 Selaya
28 Mar
CD Barquereno
0 : 3 Bezana
Page 1 of 3
UM Escobedo
(Away) 20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0 UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1 UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0 CD Laredo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0 UM Escobedo
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1 UM Escobedo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7 UM Escobedo
19 Apr
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
