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CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
CD Baza Logo

CD Baza

1 - 0
FT
CD Alhaurino Logo

CD Alhaurino

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Baza in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Baza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Baza
30%
Draws
31%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Alhaurino lately — more wins on the board than CD Baza.
  • CD Baza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baza CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino
3:2
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs CD Baza
4:2
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino
1:0
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs CD Baza
2:2
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 42 / 100
CD Alhaurino 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baza CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: CD Baza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Baza's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alhaurino
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Baza

(Home)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
Page 1 of 6

CD Alhaurino

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1
CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)