Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010

CD Alhaurino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Baza play CD Alhaurino in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Baza averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. CD Alhaurino averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, CD Baza won 3, CD Alhaurino won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2011 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for CD Baza and 1.18 for CD Alhaurino. This points to a CD Alhaurino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

CD Baza

23%

Draws

42%

CD Alhaurino

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

CD Baza picked up more points recently compared to CD Alhaurino.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%

CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Baza	CD Alhaurino
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	8	13
Draws	6	10
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Alhaurino vs CD Baza

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

4:2

Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Alhaurino vs CD Baza

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 36 / 100

CD Alhaurino 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Baza CD Alhaurino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Alhaurino or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Baza attacking → ← attacking CD Alhaurino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baza scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CD Baza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Alhaurino lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mancha	36	20	8	8	53:26	68
2	Motril	36	18	12	6	54:24	66
3	El Palo	36	19	6	11	59:44	63
4	Almeria B	36	17	10	9	62:37	61
5	CD Ronda	36	17	9	10	64:51	60
6	Malaga B	36	16	11	9	56:44	59
7	Comarca	36	17	6	13	52:34	57
8	Ciudad de Vicar	36	13	14	9	52:48	53
9	Loja	36	13	10	13	42:40	49
10	Antequera	36	11	14	11	43:38	47
11	Velez	36	14	5	17	50:52	47
12	CD Alhaurino	36	12	9	15	53:54	45
13	Adra	36	12	9	15	47:59	45
14	Santa Fe	36	11	8	17	40:55	41
15	UD Carboneras	36	10	8	18	43:63	38
16	Huetor Tajar	36	11	5	20	44:67	38
17	CD Baza	36	9	10	17	36:54	37
18	Arenas Armilla	36	9	8	19	33:63	35
19	Ejido 2	19	7	3	9	21:22	24
20	Vera CD	19	1	7	11	17:46	10