Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Baztan vs Ontinena

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2024/2025
Wed, Oct 9, 2024
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Serrates O.
35' Event
Nunez H.
52'
Juan Luis

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Ontinena advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Baztan
25%
Draws
35%
Ontinena
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CD Baztan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Baztan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Baztan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • CD Baztan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ontinena, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
CD Baztan Clean Sheet 68%
Ontinena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baztan Ontinena
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 6 1
Draws 12 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.68 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Copa del Rey
CD Baztan vs Ontinena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Baztan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ontinena Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrates O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baztan 86 / 100
Ontinena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baztan Ontinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Baztan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ontinena let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

CD Baztan found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Baztan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Baztan VS Ontinena
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Baztan

(Home)
09 Oct
CD Baztan
1 : 2
Ontinena
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1
CD River Ega
18 Jun
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
CD Baztan
12 Jun
CD Baztan
0 : 0
CD Corellano
04 Jun
Txantrea
0 : 1
CD Baztan
Page 1 of 7

Ontinena

(Away)
31 Oct
Ontinena
0 : 7
Las Palmas
09 Oct
CD Baztan
1 : 2
Ontinena

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Ourense CF -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Astur 2
Promesas EDF 0
TBD -
Valladolid -
Jaen -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
SD Ejea -
TBD -
TBD -
Hercules -
Sonseca 0
CP Parla Escuela 1
TBD -
Valencia -
UD Barbastro -
TBD -
TBD -
Amorebieta -
San Tirso 2
Selaya 1
TBD -
Espanyol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
SD Ibiza -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimnastic de Tarragona -
Som Maresme -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Sant Andreu -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gevora 2
UD Playas de Sotavento 1
TBD -
Betis -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeclano -
CD Coria -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche -
CE Europa -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
CD Baztan 1
Ontinena 2
TBD -
Las Palmas -
Bergantinos -
TBD -
TBD -
Marbella -
CD Mostoles -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Cacereno -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
UE Vic 4
Mahon 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Pontevedra -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
L Hospitalet -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Cortes -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Langreo -
TBD -
TBD -
Orihuela -
Dolorense 1
Manises 3
TBD -
Getafe -
UM Escobedo -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Aguilas FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
Conquense -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ibiza -
Espanol de San Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Lleida -
TBD -
TBD -
Barakaldo -
CD Cuarte -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Ferrol -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
CD Villamuriel 1
Aurrera de Vitoria 0
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
UD Logrones -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
CD Extremadura -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Torremolinos -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
Alfaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
Chiclana 4
Melilla CD 0
TBD -
Osasuna -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
San Sebastian Reyes -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Olot -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
CD Las Rozas -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Don Benito -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Andorra -
Beasain -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
CD Estepona -
TBD -
TBD -
Malaga -
Ciudad de Lucena -
TBD -
TBD -
Leganes -
Tudelano -
TBD -
TBD -
Deportiva Minera -
Compostela -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Lanzarote -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcorcon -
UD San Pedro 4
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
1/64-finals
Guijuelo 1
Ourense CF 2
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Real Avila 1
Real Oviedo 0
Astur 1
Valladolid 4
Jaen 0
Cadiz 3
Atletico Paso 0
Eldense 1
SD Ejea 1
Hercules 0
CP Parla Escuela 0
Valencia 1
UD Barbastro 4
Amorebieta 0
San Tirso 0
Espanyol 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
SD Ibiza 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona 2
Som Maresme 0
Huesca 2
Sant Andreu 2
Mirandes 1
Gevora 1
Betis 6
CD Laredo 0
Yeclano 6
CD Coria 0
Elche 3
CE Europa 2
Albacete 1
Ontinena 0
Las Palmas 7
Bergantinos 1
Marbella 2
CD Mostoles 2
Burgos CF 5
Cacereno 2
Gimnastica Segoviana 1
UE Vic 0
Atl. Madrid 2
Pontevedra 4
Levante 1
UD Poblense 1
Villarreal 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
L Hospitalet 1
Zaragoza 5
Cortes 0
Granada CF 2
Langreo 1
Orihuela 2
Manises 0
Getafe 3
UM Escobedo 0
Ponferradina 1
Aguilas FC 0
Castellon 1
Conquense 1
UD Ibiza 0
Espanol de San Vicente 0
Real Sociedad 5
Lleida 1
Barakaldo 3
CD Cuarte 1
Racing Club Ferrol 3
Utebo FC 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 4
CD Villamuriel 0
Rayo Vallecano 5
UD Logrones 1
Eibar 0
CD Extremadura 0
Girona 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Torremolinos 1
Zamora 2
Alfaro 0
Tenerife 2
Xerez CD 0
AD Ceuta 1
Chiclana 0
Osasuna 5
Llanera 0
Leonesa 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Almeria 2
Olot 2
Cordoba 1
CD Las Rozas 0
Sevilla 3
Don Benito 1
FC Andorra 2
Beasain 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
CD Estepona 3
Malaga 2
Ciudad de Lucena 1
Leganes 2
Tudelano 0
Deportiva Minera 5
Compostela 0
Alaves 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Lanzarote 3
Racing Santander 4
Numancia 0
Gijon 1
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Alcorcon 0
UD San Pedro 1
Celta Vigo 5
1/32-finals
Ourense CF 1
Dep. A Coruna 0
Real Avila 2
Valladolid 4
Cadiz 0
Eldense 1
SD Ejea 1
Valencia 3
UD Barbastro 2
Espanyol 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
Gimnastic de Tarragona 0
Huesca 1
Sant Andreu 1
Betis 3
Yeclano 0
Elche 1
CE Europa 1
Las Palmas 2
Marbella 1
Burgos CF 0
Cacereno 1
Atl. Madrid 3
Pontevedra 1
Villarreal 0
TBD -
Mallorca -
Zaragoza 2
Granada CF 3
Orihuela 0
Getafe 1
Ponferradina 2
Castellon 1
Conquense 0
Real Sociedad 1
Barakaldo 1
Racing Club Ferrol 2
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
UD Logrones 1
Girona 0
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Zamora 0
Tenerife 1
AD Ceuta 2
Osasuna 3
Leonesa 1
Almeria 2
Olot 1
Sevilla 3
FC Andorra 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
CD Estepona 2
Leganes 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Alaves 2
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Racing Santander 1
Gijon 0
Salamanca CF UDS 0
Celta Vigo 7
1/16-finals
Ourense CF 3
Valladolid 2
Eldense 0
Valencia 2
UD Barbastro 0
Barcelona 4
Huesca 0
Betis 1
Elche 4
Las Palmas 0
Marbella 0
Atl. Madrid 1
Pontevedra 3
Mallorca 0
Granada CF 0
Getafe 1
Ponferradina 0
Real Sociedad 2
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Rayo Vallecano 3
UD Logrones 0
Ath Bilbao 1
Tenerife 1
Osasuna 2
Almeria 4
Sevilla 1
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Leganes 2
Deportiva Minera 0
Real Madrid 5
Racing Santander 2
Celta Vigo 3
1/8-finals
Ourense CF 0
Valencia 2
Barcelona 5
Betis 1
Elche 0
Atl. Madrid 4
Pontevedra 0
Getafe 1
Real Sociedad 3
Rayo Vallecano 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Osasuna 3
Almeria 2
Leganes 3
Real Madrid 5
Celta Vigo 2
Quarter-finals
Valencia 0
Barcelona 5
Atl. Madrid 5
Getafe 0
Real Sociedad 2
Osasuna 0
Leganes 2
Real Madrid 3
Semi-finals
Barcelona 5
Atl. Madrid 4
Real Sociedad 4
Real Madrid 5
Final
Barcelona 3
Real Madrid 2