Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Boiro vs Gran Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Prol M.
84' Event
Alonso O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CD Boiro
20%
Draws
35%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gran Pena haven't matched CD Boiro's recent run of results.
  • CD Boiro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 16%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Gran Pena
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs CD Boiro
1:0
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Gran Pena
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs CD Boiro
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prol M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 41 / 100
Gran Pena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Boiro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CD Boiro scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gran Pena let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Gran Pena
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
19 Sept
Silva SD
0 : 2
CD Boiro
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)