Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choloma vs Juticalpa

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
CD Choloma Logo

CD Choloma

1 - 1
FT
Juticalpa Logo

Juticalpa

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aceituno M.
9' Event
Lacayo J.
29'
Anaya L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between CD Choloma and Juticalpa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Choloma
15%
Draws
39%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Choloma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Choloma a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Juticalpa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Juticalpa
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs CD Choloma
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Juticalpa
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs CD Choloma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Choloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Aceituno M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacayo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 85 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Juticalpa conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

CD Choloma scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Choloma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Juticalpa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Juticalpa

(Away)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)