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CD Estepona vs Xerez CD

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Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between CD Estepona and Xerez CD finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Estepona
35%
Draws
22%
Xerez CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Xerez CD have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — CD Estepona are scoring more at 1.34.
  • CD Estepona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Estepona Xerez CD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.34 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Xerez CD
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Xerez CD
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs CD Estepona
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Xerez CD
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs CD Estepona
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Estepona 50 / 100
Xerez CD 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Estepona Xerez CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Estepona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Estepona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xerez CD let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Estepona VS Xerez CD
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Estepona

(Home)
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6

Xerez CD

(Away)
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)