Sport Picks
CD Ferrerias vs UD Poblense
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between CD Ferrerias and UD Poblense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Poblense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Poblense come out ahead of CD Ferrerias on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on UD Poblense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and UD Poblense have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Ferrerias | UD Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs UD Poblense
0:2
Oct 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs CD Ferrerias
4:3
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs UD Poblense
1:2
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs CD Ferrerias
5:1
Jan 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs CD Ferrerias
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Ferrerias 10 / 100
UD Poblense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Ferrerias UD Poblense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: UD Poblense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: UD Poblense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
CD Ferrerias's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Ferrerias
(Home) 13 May
Espana
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2 Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0 CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 6
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1 Mercadal
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2 Atletico Isleno
01 Apr
CD Ferrerias
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
18 Mar
CD Ferrerias
0 : 2 UD Poblense
04 Mar
CD Ferrerias
0 : 5 Binissalem
Page 1 of 3
UD Poblense
(Away) 20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0 UD Poblense
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1 UD Poblense
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1 UD Poblense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 51:23 | 79 |
| 2 | UD Poblense | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 71:44 | 78 |
| 3 | Constancia | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 62:25 | 78 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 63:30 | 76 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:44 | 75 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 53:25 | 69 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:43 | 63 |
| 8 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47:36 | 54 |
| 9 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46:58 | 46 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 48:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 43:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:56 | 42 |
| 16 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Alaior | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 35:61 | 38 |
| 18 | Penya Arrabal | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 45:78 | 27 |
| 19 | Norteno CF | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 24:56 | 27 |
| 20 | Arenal | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32:66 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
