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CD Montuiri vs Binissalem Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

CD Montuiri in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Montuiri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD Montuiri
15%
Draws
36%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Montuiri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CD Montuiri average 1.56 goals a game right now, well clear of Binissalem's 1.03.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 20%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Montuiri Binissalem
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Binissalem
2:0
Oct 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs CD Montuiri
1:2
Mar 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Binissalem
2:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs CD Montuiri
1:0
Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Binissalem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Montuiri 36 / 100
Binissalem 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Montuiri Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Montuiri scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Binissalem lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Binissalem has conceded goals in 54% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Binissalem
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Montuiri

(Home)
15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1
CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0
CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0
Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0
CD Montuiri
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Binissalem

(Away)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)