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CD Morell vs Gava

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016
CD Morell Logo

CD Morell

0 - 2
FT
Gava Logo

Gava

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gava in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Morell
30%
Draws
58%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Morell lately — more wins on the board than Gava.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Morell Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Morell Gava
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 3
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.8 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Morell vs Gava
0:2
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CD Morell
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Morell 32 / 100
Gava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Morell Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CD Morell's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Morell went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gava
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Morell

(Home)
14 May
CD Morell
1 : 1
FC Asco
08 May
Terrassa
4 : 0
CD Morell
30 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 0
CD Morell
23 Apr
CD Morell
1 : 2
Granollers
17 Apr
Montanesa
3 : 1
CD Morell
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Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 21 15 2 62:26 78
2 Gava 38 18 15 5 69:38 69
3 CE Europa 38 18 14 6 60:33 68
4 Montanesa 38 19 8 11 52:35 65
5 FC Vilafranca 38 19 7 12 68:55 64
6 Sabadell B 38 17 11 10 57:41 62
7 Sant Andreu 38 16 8 14 54:46 56
8 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 15 9 14 52:50 54
9 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 48:40 53
10 Jupiter 38 15 5 18 60:68 50
11 FC Asco 38 13 11 14 35:43 50
12 Manlleu AEC 38 15 4 19 44:58 49
13 Peralada 38 11 14 13 50:54 47
14 Terrassa 38 14 5 19 43:61 47
15 Palamos CF 38 10 16 12 54:54 46
16 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 47:55 45
17 Granollers 38 12 8 18 52:63 44
18 UE Rubi 38 10 10 18 38:57 40
19 CD Morell 38 8 6 24 29:70 30
20 CD Masnou 38 6 8 24 40:67 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)