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CD Mostoles vs Siello

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 game between CD Mostoles and Siello finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mostoles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CD Mostoles
20%
Draws
28%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mostoles come out ahead of Siello on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 13%
Siello Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Siello
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
3:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
1:2
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 84 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Mostoles's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siello conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Siello
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
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Siello

(Away)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)