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CD Rabo Peixe vs Santarem

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Seidi A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 game between CD Rabo Peixe and Santarem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santarem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Rabo Peixe
15%
Draws
59%
Santarem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santarem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Rabo Peixe's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Santarem have produced (1).
  • Santarem are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 24%
Santarem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Rabo Peixe Santarem
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs Santarem
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs CD Rabo Peixe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Santarem Compare

Top Goalscorer Seidi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Rabo Peixe 13 / 100
Santarem 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Rabo Peixe Santarem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santarem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santarem conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Rabo Peixe scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

CD Rabo Peixe has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santarem
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Rabo Peixe

(Home)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 6

Santarem

(Away)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)