Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Roces vs Basico Urraca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Vigil I.
77' Event
Batalla A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between CD Roces and Basico Urraca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basico Urraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Roces
20%
Draws
80%
Basico Urraca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Basico Urraca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Basico Urraca a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Roces Clean Sheet 17%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Roces Basico Urraca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Basico Urraca
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs CD Roces
0:0
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs CD Roces
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Basico Urraca
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs CD Roces
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Roces Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Vigil I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Roces 12 / 100
Basico Urraca 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Roces Basico Urraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basico Urraca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basico Urraca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

CD Roces found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Basico Urraca's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Roces VS Basico Urraca
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Roces

(Home)
11 May
CD Roces
0 : 4
CD Mosconia
04 May
Praviano
3 : 2
CD Roces
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 5
Lealtad
13 Apr
Real Oviedo B
3 : 0
CD Roces
Page 1 of 7

Basico Urraca

(Away)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)