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Stadium Background

CD Roces vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Alvarez J.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Cisse Ambroise Junior M.
69' Event
Fofana B.

AI Match Summary

Lealtad in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Roces
15%
Draws
85%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lealtad have won more games recently than CD Roces.
  • Model gives Lealtad a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lealtad have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CD Roces Clean Sheet 24%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Roces Lealtad
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Lealtad
0:5
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs CD Roces
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Lealtad
1:3
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs CD Roces
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Roces Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse Ambroise Junior M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Roces 10 / 100
Lealtad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Roces Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lealtad conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lealtad's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CD Roces found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Lealtad
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Roces

(Home)
11 May
CD Roces
0 : 4
CD Mosconia
04 May
Praviano
3 : 2
CD Roces
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 5
Lealtad
13 Apr
Real Oviedo B
3 : 0
CD Roces
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Lealtad

(Away)
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)