Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010

Moralo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Marta play Moralo in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Santa Marta averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Moralo averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, CD Santa Marta won 1, Moralo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for CD Santa Marta and 1.55 for Moralo. This points to a Moralo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

CD Santa Marta

22%

Draws

55%

Moralo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

CD Santa Marta picked up more points recently compared to Moralo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 15%

Moralo Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Santa Marta	Moralo
Matches Played	30	45
Wins	7	27
Draws	6	11
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	0.77	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Moralo

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Feb 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Moralo

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Sep 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Moralo

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 24 / 100

Moralo 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Santa Marta Moralo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Moralo & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Santa Marta attacking → ← attacking Moralo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Moralo let in goals in 58% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CD Santa Marta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Moralo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 92

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Badajoz	38	32	5	1	109:19	101
2	Jerez CF	38	27	8	3	77:14	89
3	Extremadura UD	38	24	7	7	77:26	79
4	Arroyo	38	22	8	8	72:43	74
5	Merida UD	38	21	9	8	55:28	72
6	Sp. Villanueva	38	18	13	7	71:50	67
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	16	9	13	54:49	57
8	Don Benito	38	15	8	15	48:50	53
9	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
10	Imperio Merida	38	11	14	13	59:56	47
11	Olivenza CP	38	12	11	15	34:45	47
12	Miajadas	38	12	8	18	28:42	44
13	UD Badajoz	38	12	7	19	54:68	43
14	Moralo	38	12	7	19	40:52	43
15	Valdelacalzada	38	9	13	16	35:54	40
16	CD Coria	38	8	10	20	50:76	34
17	CD Santa Marta	38	8	7	23	43:70	31
18	Montehermoso	38	8	6	24	31:79	30
19	La Estrella	38	6	9	23	27:84	27
20	SP Villafranca	38	6	5	27	30:87	23