Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2015/2016

Real Sporting San Jose

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Ursula play Real Sporting San Jose in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Santa Ursula averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Real Sporting San Jose averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, CD Santa Ursula won 2, Real Sporting San Jose won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2016 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for CD Santa Ursula and 1.13 for Real Sporting San Jose. This points to a CD Santa Ursula double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

CD Santa Ursula

17%

Draws

28%

Real Sporting San Jose

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

CD Santa Ursula picked up more points recently compared to Real Sporting San Jose.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 21%

Real Sporting San Jose Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Santa Ursula	Real Sporting San Jose
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	5
Draws	10	5
Losses	12	20
Goals Scored	0.91	0.7
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Real Sporting San Jose vs CD Santa Ursula

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

4:0

Dec 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

CD Santa Ursula vs Real Sporting San Jose

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Real Sporting San Jose vs CD Santa Ursula

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Oct 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

CD Santa Ursula vs Real Sporting San Jose

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Ursula 54 / 100

Real Sporting San Jose 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Santa Ursula Real Sporting San Jose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (1)

Secondary Pick CD Santa Ursula & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Santa Ursula attacking → ← attacking Real Sporting San Jose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Ursula scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Real Sporting San Jose let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

CD Santa Ursula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Sporting San Jose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 20

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villa Santa Brigida	38	23	9	6	59:26	78
2	Las Palmas B	38	22	9	7	70:37	75
3	Lanzarote	38	19	16	3	67:28	73
4	SD Tenisca	38	21	7	10	60:38	70
5	UD San Fernando	38	17	13	8	41:26	64
6	Las Zocas	38	18	8	12	47:34	62
7	El Cotillo	38	18	7	13	58:52	61
8	Telde	38	17	8	13	59:39	59
9	Tenerife B	38	17	8	13	56:36	59
10	Ibarra	38	18	3	17	63:46	57
11	Union Sur Yaiza	38	15	9	14	47:43	54
12	Vera CD	38	13	12	13	59:52	51
13	CD Santa Ursula	38	11	15	12	41:47	48
14	Arucas	38	11	13	14	36:41	46
15	Union Viera	38	13	7	18	44:54	46
16	CD La Cuadra	38	11	6	21	36:61	39
17	CD Marino	38	8	8	22	36:67	32
18	Real Sporting San Jose	38	8	6	24	28:63	30
19	Cruz Santa	38	5	11	22	23:61	26
20	Atletico Granadilla	38	3	9	26	27:106	18