Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Pacheco A.
79'
79'
Toral A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Tropezon and CD Colindres finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Tropezon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CD Tropezon come out ahead of CD Colindres on wins alone.
- Model gives CD Tropezon a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tropezon | CD Colindres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 20 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Tropezon
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tropezon Compare
Top Goalscorer Pacheco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
CD Colindres Compare
Top Goalscorer Toral A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tropezon 77 / 100
CD Colindres 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tropezon CD Colindres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Tropezon scored in 71% of their last 35 games.
CD Colindres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
CD Tropezon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CD Tropezon VS CD Colindres
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tropezon
(Home) 20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1 Cayon CD
19 Apr
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 4
CD Colindres
(Away) 09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3 Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
Cayon CD
1 : 2 CD Colindres
14 Mar
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | SD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)