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CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Pacheco A.
79' Event
Toral A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CD Tropezon and CD Colindres finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CD Tropezon
15%
Draws
21%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Tropezon come out ahead of CD Colindres on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Tropezon a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon CD Colindres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Tropezon
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Colindres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Toral A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 86 / 100
CD Colindres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tropezon scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

CD Colindres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CD Tropezon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS CD Colindres
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tropezon

(Home)
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 6

CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)