Sport Picks
CD Vitoria vs Pasaia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ferrer K.
36'
36'
Arana M.
51'
51'
Goikoetxea M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between CD Vitoria and Pasaia finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CD Vitoria come out ahead of Pasaia on wins alone.
- CD Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Vitoria | Pasaia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 23 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 1 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.47 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Pasaia
2:2
Jan 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs CD Vitoria
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Pasaia
1:0
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs CD Vitoria
0:5
Apr 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Vitoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Arana M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goikoetxea M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Pasaia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrer K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alonso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Vitoria 40 / 100
Pasaia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Vitoria Pasaia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Vitoria found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Pasaia let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
CD Vitoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pasaia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Vitoria
(Home) 11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2 Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1 CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0 CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Beasain
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2 Pasaia
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Touring KE
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Beasain
05 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Derio
23 Mar
CD Vitoria
3 : 1 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 3
Pasaia
(Away) 03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0 Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
