Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CDC Montalegre vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kanu S.
15' Event
Santos D.
28' Event
Kanu S.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritimo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CDC Montalegre
30%
Draws
35%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maritimo B at 1.17 per game, CDC Montalegre at 1.
  • CDC Montalegre are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre Maritimo B
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Maritimo B
1:3
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maritimo B vs CDC Montalegre
2:1
Mar 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maritimo B vs CDC Montalegre
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Maritimo B
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDC Montalegre Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 42 / 100
Maritimo B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

CDC Montalegre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maritimo B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS Maritimo B
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.8 Goals Conceded 2.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
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Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)