Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024

Os Sandinenses

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CDC Montalegre play Os Sandinenses in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, CDC Montalegre averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Os Sandinenses averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, CDC Montalegre won 1, Os Sandinenses won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for CDC Montalegre and 0.99 for Os Sandinenses. This points to a CDC Montalegre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

CDC Montalegre

27%

Draws

30%

Os Sandinenses

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

CDC Montalegre picked up more points recently compared to Os Sandinenses.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 23%

Os Sandinenses Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CDC Montalegre	Os Sandinenses
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	9
Draws	10	7
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	1.07	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Os Sandinenses vs CDC Montalegre

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 4 - 0

4:0

Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

CDC Montalegre vs Os Sandinenses

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDC Montalegre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado N.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Alex Reis

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Os Sandinenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Liborio R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 43 / 100

Os Sandinenses 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CDC Montalegre Os Sandinenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CDC Montalegre or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CDC Montalegre attacking → ← attacking Os Sandinenses

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDC Montalegre scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Os Sandinenses let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

CDC Montalegre went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Os Sandinenses lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Limianos	26	12	9	5	35:27	45
2	Pevidem	26	11	11	4	31:22	44
3	Tirsense	26	12	7	7	37:24	43
4	Camacha	26	11	5	10	36:30	38
5	Brito	26	10	8	8	26:26	38
6	Dumiense	26	9	8	9	30:32	35
7	Os Sandinenses	26	8	11	7	31:31	35
8	SC Vila Real	26	8	11	7	24:22	35
9	Maritimo B	26	10	5	11	34:26	35
10	CDC Montalegre	26	8	10	8	25:31	34
11	Vilar de Perdizes	26	7	10	9	29:32	31
12	CD Portosantense	26	6	9	11	22:27	27
13	SC Mirandela	26	6	6	14	25:37	24
14	Ribeirao	26	5	8	13	19:37	20