Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Fernandes C.
30'
30'
Neves R.
38'
38'
Sub
Moura C. In: Almeida H.
Out: Moura C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with CDC Montalegre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDC Montalegre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Pevidem carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Pevidem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CDC Montalegre, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 68%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CDC Montalegre | Pevidem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 39 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs CDC Montalegre
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Pevidem
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Taça de Portugal
CDC Montalegre vs Pevidem
2:1
Apr 24, 2022 Liga 3
CDC Montalegre vs Pevidem
2:2
Apr 2, 2022 Liga 3
Pevidem vs CDC Montalegre
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CDC Montalegre Compare
Top Goalscorer Neves R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodrigues B. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pevidem Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CDC Montalegre 41 / 100
Pevidem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CDC Montalegre Pevidem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pevidem has conceded goals in 74% of their last 39 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: CDC Montalegre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Pevidem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CDC Montalegre VS Pevidem
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CDC Montalegre
(Home) 13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1 Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2 CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1 Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0 Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0 CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1 Maia Lidador
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1 Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0 Brito
29 Mar
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1 AD Limianos
24 Mar
CDC Montalegre
0 : 0 SC Vila Real
Page 1 of 4
Pevidem
(Away) 30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0 Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1 Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0 Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0 Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1 AD Limianos
Page 1 of 8
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0 Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1 Pevidem
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0 Pevidem
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0 Pevidem
22 Feb
Tirsense
3 : 0 Pevidem
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Moncarapachense -
TBD -
CU Micaelense 1
GD Alcochetense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 4
Torre De Moncorvo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros 2
FC Foz 0
TBD -
Santa Maria FC -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Anadia 2
Sanjoanense 3
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Tomar -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro 2
Caldas SC 1
Padernense 1
Serpa 2
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
Atletico SC 0
CDR Quarteirense 2
TBD -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Uniao Lamas 2
Paredes 3
Florgrade 3
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense -
TBD -
TBD -
Amarante FC -
Academica 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Fornos de Algodres 0
Oliveira Hospital 5
O Elvas CAD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lanheses -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
TBD -
Tirsense -
SC Vila Real 0
Ribeirao 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
Aliados Lordelo 1
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 1
Gondomar 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Barreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira do Douro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 3
Portel 0
Sintrense 2
Operario 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Brito -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
Marinhense 1
Mondinense 0
CDC Montalegre 2
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Canelas 2010 -
TBD -
FC Flamengos 0
GD Fontinhas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Guadalupe 0
Fabril do Barreiro 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Mortagua FC -
TBD -
Amora 8
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Lusitania FC 10
Regua 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Pedrogao Sao Pedro -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
Atletico Arcos -
TBD -
TBD -
Malveira -
Alqueidao 3
CD Torres Novas 2
TBD -
AD Marco 09 -
Rebordelo 1
Os Sandinenses 3
Real SC 1
Olivais e Moscavide 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense -
TBD -
Santarem 6
Proenca-A-Nova 0
Louletano 1
Imortal 0
TBD -
AFS -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Vilanovense 0
SC Pombal 2
TBD -
Tondela -
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Alverca 13
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Vila Mea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
AD Fafe 1
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Limianos 3
Varzim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Amiense 0
SB Castelo Branco 7
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
Os Marialvas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 2
Industria 0
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Lusitano FCV 0
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 2
Lobao 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
1/64-finals
Moncarapachense 6
CU Micaelense 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte 0
Vilaverdense FC 5
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Penafiel 2
SC Salgueiros 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Leixoes 1
Sanjoanense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Tomar 1
Pero Pinheiro 2
Serpa 2
CD Gouveia 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
CF Os Belenenses 1
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Paredes 5
Florgrade 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 0
Amarante FC 2
Academica 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Lanheses 0
ACDR Lamelas 1
Tirsense 3
Ribeirao 0
Santa Clara 3
Vitoria Sernache 0
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 2
Nacional 4
FC Barreirense 0
SC Mirandela 3
CD Rabo Peixe 3
Oliveira do Douro 2
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 1
Sintrense 2
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense 0
Mafra 5
Brito 0
Feirense 2
Vilar de Perdizes 5
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
CDC Montalegre 3
Trofense 0
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 5
GD Fontinhas 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Maritimo 3
Mortagua FC 2
Amora 1
Lusitania FC 1
Academico Viseu 2
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 0
Leiria 12
Atletico Arcos 2
Malveira 3
Alqueidao 1
AD Marco 09 3
Os Sandinenses 1
Olivais e Moscavide 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense 4
Santarem 3
Louletano 0
AFS 1
Oriental 0
Torreense 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Pombal 0
Tondela 5
1º Dezembro 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Atletico CP 1
Alverca 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 0
Vila Mea 3
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
FC Felgueiras 4
AD Limianos 0
TBD -
Arouca -
SB Castelo Branco 1
Oliveirense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania 1
Os Marialvas 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 0
Covilha 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 4
TBD -
Braga -
1/32-finals
Moncarapachense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
SC Farense 2
Penafiel 3
Santa Maria FC 0
Leixoes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pero Pinheiro 0
Serpa 1
CF Os Belenenses 1
Gil Vicente 2
Paredes 2
Moreirense 1
Amarante FC 1
Academica 0
O Elvas CAD 2
Tirsense 1
Santa Clara 2
SC Vianense 0
Nacional 6
SC Mirandela 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Casa Pia 2
Sintrense 0
Estoril 5
Mafra 3
Feirense 1
Vilar de Perdizes 0
FC Porto 2
CDC Montalegre 2
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 1
Chaves 0
Maritimo 4
Mortagua FC 1
Academico Viseu 1
Leiria 3
Malveira 2
AD Marco 09 1
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Sporting CP 3
Dumiense 1
AFS 0
Torreense 2
Rio Ave 1
Tondela 2
1º Dezembro 1
Atletico CP 0
Vizela 1
Vila Mea 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
FC Felgueiras 1
Arouca 3
Oliveirense 1
Boavista 3
SC Lusitania 1
Benfica 4
Camacha 0
Famalicao 5
Covilha 1
Portimonense 4
Rebordosa 0
Braga 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Vilaverdense FC 1
Penafiel 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Casa Pia 0
Estoril 2
Mafra 1
FC Porto 4
CDC Montalegre 0
Canelas 2010 1
Maritimo 3
Leiria 5
Malveira 0
Sporting CP 8
Dumiense 0
Torreense 1
Tondela 2
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
Arouca 3
Boavista 2
Benfica 2
Famalicao 0
Portimonense 1
Braga 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Penafiel 0
Gil Vicente 3
Amarante FC 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Estoril 0
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 0
Leiria 3
Sporting CP 4
Tondela 0
Vizela 1
Arouca 0
Benfica 3
Braga 2
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Gil Vicente 1
Santa Clara 1
FC Porto 2
Leiria 0
Sporting CP 3
Vizela 1
Benfica 2
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
FC Porto 4
Sporting CP 4
Benfica 3
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 1
