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CDFC La Calzada vs Autol

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Manzanos M.

AI Match Summary

CDFC La Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CDFC La Calzada
20%
Draws
29%
Autol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada have won more games recently than Autol.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on CDFC La Calzada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 20%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada Autol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.28 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Autol
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs CDFC La Calzada
3:2
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Autol
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs CDFC La Calzada
0:1
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs CDFC La Calzada
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzanos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 85 / 100
Autol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada Autol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Autol conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

CDFC La Calzada scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: CDFC La Calzada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS Autol
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6

Autol

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)