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CDFC La Calzada vs Yague

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CDFC La Calzada and Yague finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CDFC La Calzada
15%
Draws
26%
Yague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CDFC La Calzada's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 20%
Yague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada Yague
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Yague
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs CDFC La Calzada
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs CDFC La Calzada
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Yague
3:1
Aug 28, 2024 Club Friendly
CDFC La Calzada vs Yague
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 58 / 100
Yague 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada Yague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDFC La Calzada found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Yague has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CDFC La Calzada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS Yague
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
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Yague

(Away)
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
09 May
Yague
4 : 4
CD Calahorra
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)