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CE Flamengo vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Ipitanga in the Baiano 2 2014. CE Flamengo are favorites here. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 1, Ipitanga won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2014 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for CE Flamengo and 1.44 for Ipitanga. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
CE Flamengo
18%
Draws
14%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to Ipitanga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 16%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Ipitanga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Ipitanga
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 64 / 100
Ipitanga 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Flamengo Win (1)
Secondary Pick CE Flamengo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking Ipitanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Ipitanga let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ipitanga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 12
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351