Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Ferreira Berrondo M. N.
46'
46'
Sub
Ferreira Berrondo M. N. In: Enzo Lodovico
Out: Ferreira Berrondo M. N.
46'
46'
Sub
Wendel Silva In: Vina
Out: Wendel Silva
AI Match Summary
Ceara in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sport Recife lately — more wins on the board than Ceara.
- Model gives Ceara a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ceara Clean Sheet 16%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceara | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Sport Recife
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Ceara
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs Ceara
1:1
Jul 10, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Ceara
0:1
May 17, 2025 Serie A Betano
Ceara vs Sport Recife
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ceara Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Otavio
1 Goals Assists Leader Melk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Marlon Douglas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ceara 36 / 100
Sport Recife 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ceara Sport Recife
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceara scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Sport Recife has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ceara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ceara VS Sport Recife
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ceara
(Home) 18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1 Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1 Londrina
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3 Cuiaba
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
Sport Recife
(Away) 19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1 Sport Recife
08 Aug
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
