Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Ebrahimzadeh A.
44'
44'
Ebrahimzadeh A.
85'
85'
Yunanov A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Safa Baku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa Baku
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Safa Baku's way, sitting at 90%.
- Safa Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Safa Baku, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Safa Baku here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cebrayil Clean Sheet 14%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cebrayil | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Safa Baku vs Cebrayil
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Safa Baku
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Cebrayil vs Safa Baku
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 I Liqa
Safa Baku vs Cebrayil
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cebrayil Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Safa Baku Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebrahimzadeh A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yunanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cebrayil 10 / 100
Safa Baku 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cebrayil Safa Baku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cebrayil found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Safa Baku conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Cebrayil remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cebrayil VS Safa Baku
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cebrayil
(Home) 21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3 Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0 Cebrayil
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3 Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Sabail
6 : 0 Cebrayil
22 Apr
Cebrayil
2 : 1 Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3 Shimal
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3 Baku Sporting
22 Apr
Cebrayil
2 : 1 Mingachevir
08 Apr
Cebrayil
3 : 2 Zaqatala PFK
13 Mar
Cebrayil
1 : 0 Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 3
Safa Baku
(Away) 22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1 Safa Baku
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0 Cebrayil
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0 Safa Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0 Shimal
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0 MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1 Safa Baku
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0 Safa Baku
16 Apr
Baku Sporting
0 : 0 Safa Baku
03 Apr
Mingachevir
5 : 2 Safa Baku
11 Mar
Shimal
0 : 2 Safa Baku
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1