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Celaya vs Zacatepec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celaya host Zacatepec in the Primera Premier. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Celaya at 1.93 goals for, 1.03 against; Zacatepec at 1.28 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Celaya have won 0 to Zacatepec's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2020, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.06) back Celaya to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Celaya
20%
Draws
29%
Zacatepec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celaya come out ahead of Zacatepec on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Celaya taking it.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zacatepec here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Celaya Clean Sheet 20%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya Zacatepec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatepec vs Celaya
3:1
Aug 2, 2019 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Zacatepec
0:1
Feb 9, 2019 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatepec vs Celaya
1:0
Aug 26, 2018 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Zacatepec
1:1
Feb 11, 2018 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Zacatepec
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 85 / 100
Zacatepec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya Zacatepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zacatepec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Celaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Zacatepec
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya

(Home)
08 Nov
Celaya
1 : 1
Tigres de Alica
01 Nov
Los Cabos United
1 : 4
Celaya
25 Oct
Celaya
2 : 1
Cordobes FC
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1
Celaya
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
Page 1 of 6

Zacatepec

(Away)
06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4
Zacatepec
31 Oct
Zacatepec
1 : 5
Racing de Veracruz
24 Oct
Pioneros
0 : 0
Zacatepec
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)