Sport Picks
Celta Vigo vs Lyon
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo 
Match Events
20'
20'
Iglesias B.
25'
25'
Rueda J.
Assist: Swedberg W.
46'
46'
Sub
Aspas I. In: Jutgla F.
Out: Aspas I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lyon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Celta Vigo haven't matched Lyon's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Lyon's way, sitting at 50%.
- Lyon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Celta Vigo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Celta Vigo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 10%
Lyon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Europa League
Lyon vs Celta Vigo
0:2
Mar 12, 2026 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Lyon
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Celta Vigo vs Lyon
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celta Vigo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rueda J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lyon Compare
Top Goalscorer Endrick
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celta Vigo 22 / 100
Lyon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celta Vigo Lyon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LYO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celta Vigo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lyon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Celta Vigo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Celta Vigo VS Lyon
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Celta Vigo
(Home) 25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Gijon
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2 Celta Vigo
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Sevilla
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
12 May
Celta Vigo
2 : 3 Levante
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Gijon
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Sevilla
12 May
Celta Vigo
2 : 3 Levante
03 May
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 Elche
16 Apr
Celta Vigo
1 : 3 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
Lyon
(Away) 24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0 Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1 Servette
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3 St. Gallen
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2 Macon
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0 Lyon
10 May
Toulouse
2 : 1 Lyon
19 Apr
PSG
1 : 2 Lyon
05 Apr
Angers
0 : 0 Lyon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets2
Ferencvaros3
Braga-
TBD-
Panathinaikos4
Plzen3
Betis-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb4
Genk6
Freiburg-
TBD-
PAOK1
Celta Vigo3
Lyon-
TBD-
Celtic2
VfB Stuttgart4
FC Porto-
TBD-
Fenerbahce2
Nottingham4
Midtjylland-
TBD-
Brann0
Bologna2
AS Roma-
TBD-
Lille2
Crvena zvezda1
Aston Villa-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros2
Braga4
Panathinaikos1
Betis4
Genk2
Freiburg5
Celta Vigo3
Lyon1
VfB Stuttgart1
FC Porto4
Nottingham3
Midtjylland2
Bologna5
AS Roma4
Lille0
Aston Villa3
Quarter-finals
Braga5
Betis3
Freiburg6
Celta Vigo1
FC Porto1
Nottingham2
Bologna1
Aston Villa7
Semi-finals
Braga3
Freiburg4
Nottingham1
Aston Villa4
Final
Freiburg0
Aston Villa3
