Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Nice

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Aspas I.
16' Event
Cho M.
Assist: Abdul Samed S.
29'
Clauss J.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Celta Vigo and Nice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celta Vigo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Celta Vigo
39%
Draws
30%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celta Vigo come out ahead of Nice on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Nice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Nice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aspas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Cho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 32 / 100
Nice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celta Vigo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nice conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Celta Vigo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Nice
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2
Celta Vigo
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Sevilla
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
12 May
Celta Vigo
2 : 3
Levante
09 May
Atl. Madrid
0 : 1
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Nice
0 : 0
Metz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)