Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Moriba I.
51' Event
Moriba I.
Assist: Lopez F.
64'
Sub
Peque In: Vargas R.
Out: Peque

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Celta Vigo and Sevilla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celta Vigo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Celta Vigo
35%
Draws
50%
Sevilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Celta Vigo haven't matched Sevilla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sevilla a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celta Vigo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 19%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Sevilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
1:0
Jan 12, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Celta Vigo
0:1
May 10, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
3:2
Dec 14, 2024 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Celta Vigo
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Celta Vigo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moriba I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sevilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 28 / 100
Sevilla 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Sevilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sevilla let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Celta Vigo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Sevilla
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

Sevilla

(Away)
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)