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Celtic vs Rangers

Scotland Scotland

League Cup 2025/2026 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
3 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Cornelius D.
25' Event
Kenny J.
Assist: Engels A.
38'
Aasgaard T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Celtic
15%
Draws
31%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Celtic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Celtic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Rangers
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.18 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
Rangers vs Celtic
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Premiership
Rangers vs Celtic
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 League Cup
Celtic vs Rangers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenny J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGregor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 32 / 100
Rangers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Rangers
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
25 Aug
LASK Linz
5 : 1
Celtic
19 Aug
Celtic
3 : 0
LASK Linz
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 4
Celtic
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

Rangers

(Away)
20 Aug
Rangers
1 : 0
Jablonec
16 Aug
Rangers
5 : 1
St. Mirren
13 Aug
Rangers
1 : 1
Jagiellonia
09 Aug
Rangers
1 : 2
Hibernian
06 Aug
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Morton 0
Aberdeen 3
St Johnstone 0
Motherwell 1
Kilmarnock 2
Dundee Utd 1
St. Mirren 2
Hearts 1
Partick 2
Ayr 0
Celtic 4
Falkirk 1
Rangers 4
Alloa 2
Livingston 0
Hibernian 2
Quarter-finals
Aberdeen 0
Motherwell 1
Kilmarnock 2
St. Mirren 3
Partick 0
Celtic 4
Rangers 2
Hibernian 0
Semi-finals
Motherwell 1
St. Mirren 4
Celtic 3
Rangers 1
Final
St. Mirren 3
Celtic 1