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Central Africa vs Papua New Guinea

World World

Friendly International 2024 Colombo Racecourse, Colombo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Yawanendji-Malipangou C.
25' Event
Godame T.
45' Event
Godame T.

AI Match Summary

Central Africa in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central Africa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Africa
6%
Draws
90%
Papua New Guinea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea have won more games recently than Central Africa.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Central Africa Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Africa Papua New Guinea
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Central Africa vs Papua New Guinea
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Godame T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yawanendji-Malipangou C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Papua New Guinea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Africa 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Africa Papua New Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Papua New Guinea let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Central Africa's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Central Africa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Africa VS Papua New Guinea
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Africa

(Home)
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
08 Oct
Central Africa
0 : 5
Ghana
07 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 2
Comoros
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Papua New Guinea

(Away)
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0
Solomon Islands
21 Dec
Vanuatu
1 : 2
Papua New Guinea
18 Dec
Solomon Islands
2 : 3
Papua New Guinea
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