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Central Football W vs Southern United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hislop A.
54' Event
Bouwmeester M.
61' Event
Rankin A.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2023 game between Central Football W and Southern United W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southern United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Football W
6%
Draws
90%
Southern United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southern United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Southern United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Southern United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Southern United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Football W Southern United W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 27 11
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 7.13 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
7:0
Oct 27, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
8:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Central Football W vs Southern United W
1:4
Nov 26, 2022 National League Women
Central Football W vs Southern United W
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouwmeester M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Southern United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hislop A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rankin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Football W 10 / 100
Southern United W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Football W Southern United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Southern United W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Southern United W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Central Football W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Central Football W VS Southern United W
0 Goals Scored 2
7.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Football W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
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Southern United W

(Away)
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)