Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central Football W vs Wellington United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Laskey S.
13' Event
Jenkins M.
23' Event
Jenkins M.

AI Match Summary

Wellington United W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Football W
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington United W have won more games recently than Central Football W.
  • Model gives Wellington United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Wellington United W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Football W Wellington United W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 0.13 3.75
Goals Conceded 6.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 National League Women
Central Football W vs Wellington United W
0:9
Nov 24, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Central Football W
6:0
Sep 30, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Central Football W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Football W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins M.
6 Goals
Assists Leader Laskey S.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Football W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Football W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Wellington United W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Central Football W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Central Football W VS Wellington United W
0.13 Goals Scored 3.75
6.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Football W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
Page 1 of 6

Wellington United W

(Away)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)