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Cerrito vs Rampla Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
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Match Events

6' Event
Millacet F.
44'
Graces A.
87'
Correa T.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Cerrito and Rampla Juniors finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerrito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cerrito
30%
Draws
23%
Rampla Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cerrito a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%
Rampla Juniors Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Rampla Juniors
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Rampla Juniors vs Cerrito
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Rampla Juniors
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Rampla Juniors vs Cerrito
5:0
Jul 30, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Rampla Juniors
1:1
Oct 12, 2020 Segunda Division
Rampla Juniors vs Cerrito
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Millacet F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Rampla Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 86 / 100
Rampla Juniors 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Rampla Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerrito's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rampla Juniors let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cerrito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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Rampla Juniors

(Away)
19 Oct
Atenas
1 : 0
Rampla Juniors
11 Oct
Rampla Juniors
0 : 1
Central Esp.
05 Oct
Tacuarembo
3 : 1
Rampla Juniors
27 Sept
Rampla Juniors
2 : 1
Rentistas
19 Sept
La Luz
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 26 15 5 6 33:17 50
2 Colon 26 13 8 5 32:17 47
3 Central Esp. 26 12 10 4 29:16 46
4 Atenas 26 13 5 8 35:23 44
5 Maldonado 26 11 7 8 31:21 40
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 26 10 8 8 32:29 38
7 Tacuarembo 26 9 10 7 28:25 37
8 Fenix 26 10 7 9 31:30 37
9 Rentistas 26 10 6 10 33:33 36
10 La Luz 26 5 12 9 26:36 27
11 Rampla Juniors 25 7 5 13 22:28 26
12 Cerrito 26 5 8 13 20:36 23
13 Club Atletico Artigas 25 4 10 11 28:41 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 26 4 5 17 16:44 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)